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The Butler's Guide to Running the Home and Other Graces
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The Butler's Guide to Running the Home and Other GracesThe Butler's Guide to Running the Home and Other Graces

Perched on an island off the shores of Cornwall, England, the soaring castle of St. Michael’s Mount has been home to the St. Aubyn family since 1647. For nearly thirty years, Stanley Ager, one of the most esteemed butlers of the twentieth century, ensured that St. Michael’s Mount was an impeccable place to live and a gracious and welcoming one for guests to visit.
 
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The Victorian Football Miscellany
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The Victorian Football MiscellanyThe Victorian Football Miscellany

The Victorian Football Miscellany is a quirky and fascinating collection of trivia, facts and anecdotes from football's earliest years. Delve into an absorbing world of ox-bladder balls, baggy-kneed knickerbockers and outstanding moustaches, and read remarkable tales of the first ever cup final, the invention of the shinpad, the evolution of dribbling, the first own goal and a seemingly-invincible penalty-taking elephant.
 
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Strange But True, America: Weird Tales from All 50 States
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Strange But True, America: Weird Tales from All 50 StatesStrange But True, America: Weird Tales from All 50 States

Strange But True, America is a 50-state tour de force of every oddball fact missing from standard travel and history books. Richly illustrated by veteran artist Dale Crawford, the book's 101 weird tales and matching drawings are crafted to surprise. Author John Hafnor employed a deeply curious research style to unearth the little-known tales, each building to a twist ending that assures reader interest. The book pulls few punches in redefining much of America s previously unquestioned folklore.
 
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Integrated Skills - Elementary - SB + Teacher's Notes
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Integrated Skills - Elementary - SB + Teacher's NotesIntegrated Skills - Elementary - SB + Teacher's Notes

This elementary student’s book represents a new approach to skills teaching in which integrated skills activities bring together reading, writing, listening and speaking in a natural and realistic way, and provide a balanced method for students to practise and develop their language skills.

The topics have been carefully chosen to give interesting, useful and authentic contexts, both for understanding and producing language.
 
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The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail — but Some Don't
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The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail — but Some Don'tThe Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail — but Some Don't

Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction, investigating how we can distinguish a true signal from a universe of noisy data. Most predictions fail, often at great cost to society, because most of us have a poor understanding of probability and uncertainty. Both experts and laypeople mistake more confident predictions for more accurate ones. But overconfidence is often the reason for failure. If our appreciation of uncertainty improves, our predictions can get better too. This is the “prediction paradox”: The more humility we have about our ability to make predictions, the more successful we can be in planning for the future.
 
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